09 April 2020

No Man Is An Island - part the third

It appears that Bermuda is, in fact, in trouble.
Bermuda could suffer as many as 700 Covid-19 deaths it was warned last night as the country recorded its third fatality from the disease.

If we take ~70,000 as the resident population, that calculates out as 1%. The current death rate here in the USofA, based on (questioned) data is 3.4%. But that number is based on a paltry testing total confirmed infections. And a growing number of reports of people dying out-of-hospital, untested and untreated but said to have had the symptoms, none of whom are being counted as victims. Bermuda has the opportunity to thoroughly test, if it wishes to. And government has instituted a 14 day shutdown, in progress, which should keep the death total toward the lower end of any estimates. But, as we know by now, any region's Patient Zero was sprinkling them wee little critters along the bridal path for at least a week and possibly as many as three before presenting as ill; those clandestine asymps. In a densely populated[*] place as Bermuda, that is not a good thing.

* According to the wiki page, 9th ranked 'country' on the planet.

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