26 February 2022

About The Fat Lady - part the second

Recall this from a few days ago?
"If it doubles again to 8%, that means we're into the exponential growth phase and we may be staring at another wave of COVID-19 coming in the U.S.," says Samuel Scarpino, the manager director of pathogen surveillance at the Rockefeller Foundation.
[my emphasis]
If that happens, and I'm a believer in numbers, some dumb pols are in for a rude awakening.


Well, another step along the Yellow Brick Road
Cases of BA.2, one of four omicron subvariants, are roughly doubling each week. It was responsible for nearly 4% of new coronavirus cases last week, according to estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That's up from 2% of cases the week before and 1% the week before that.
[published 23 Feb.]
If that isn't already exponential, it will do until the Real Thing comes along.

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