15 February 2021

Parallax View - part the forty fifth

Another week's up, so here are today's numbers:
  >= 1,000 -   665
100 to 999 - 1,666
(New) grand total of counties reads at 3,120. While I've not gotten into an argument with the Topo folks over this re-definition of 'affected' counties, it certainly looks like a move to bolster wannaBePresident Huey Long 2024's perpetual lying.

8 Feb. - 1,000+ is 775
9 Feb. - 1,000+ is 957

Still smells putrid in Denmark.

What explains the cliff dive of infection? Recall that past peaks where followed by gradual declines to a plateau a bit below the peak. Why is this peak different? You see this with the NYT graph (13 Feb.). Mon Dieu!! Could we have reached wannaBePresident Huey Long 2024's Herd Mentality already?? His elves will soon make the claim, you betcha.

Often what we see is a sort of cyclical pattern where things worsen and so people stay home more. They are more vigilant about wearing masks. They skip the restaurants or the get-togethers. But as things improve people relax a little bit and incorporate some of those risky behaviors again and things can again accelerate. -- Caitlin Rivers/21 January 2021
The National Law Review has a gold mine of event based information, in particular a 'complete' chronological listing of mitigation efforts by state, headed by a section of new efforts. Of some interest is that there are no significant mitigation efforts in the latest report. Is this a real plummet, or Nero fiddling? Enquiring minds need to know.

Why then does Osterholm say this?
The next 14 weeks I think will be the worst of the pandemic.
It's a puzzlement.

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