03 May 2020

Oh Boy

It's going to be another day for the one week turnaround of the topo.ai map exercise (hint, things haven't reversed since my impatient update); the data is from yesterday.

But... I just did a different cut of the topo map and the Spring Break Covidiot map, and it's chilling. To reiterate, the Spring Break tracking ran through the end of March, which is to say, that all those Typhoid Marys have been 'home' for about a month. Given that Covid-19 has, it seems, a three week incubation/asymptomatic contagion schedule, now would be the time when community spread would move from a walk to a trot.

And, guess, what? If you flip between the Spring Break tracks and the 100 to 999 topo map, tell me what you see. For me, it looks like a pure overlay. There's the thread that goes from Lauderdale up through Georgia, then Tennessee, to Illinois. The I-95 thread is clear as a bell. And then there's the thread that goes through the Carolinas, hops over Kentucky, Virginia, and West Virginia, and ends up in Ohio. The topper, so to speak, are the clusters in the mid-west, in particular the middle of the lower peninsula of Michigan. Yes, the very part of the very state where the poorly educated insist that all this social distancing is a waste of time.

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