About the only benefit to doing house/dog/cat/roach sitting for a brother-in-law in DC, is that, oft times, the NYT doesn't show up, thus compelling me to do the Post puzzle. The horror! Made more mysterious, given that the front-page section of the Times is, at minimum, 50% Washington reporting. I suppose it's parochial envy. So, one of those days meant getting Robert Samuelson's column. Again, not for the first time, an econ/business reporter tells only a bit of the story of 'flation. (You'll have to deal with their stupid ad policy!)
Even if you choose not to kneel at their feet, here's the point: Samuelson, as many others, writes about the failure of economists to predict episodes of 'flation, both in- and de-. And, he tosses up his hands without offering an explanation. Which is, simply, that most in the econ biz curry to the idea that there is only wage-push inflation, all the while ignoring the fact that the growth in GDP since the Great Recession has been driven by most of said growth going to the 1% (and nearby). No mo money, no inflation. IOW, income inequality has the beneficial (for some) side-effect of stable prices. No mo money, no price hikes. Well, drugs excepted. And tariffs.
Events drive the data, not the other way round. At the macro level, anyway.
15 May 2019
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